Friday, January 14, 2011

Sobre Golpes de Estado: William Easterly Detona Paul Collier

Há economistas com o espírito campineiro em todo lugar. Paul Collier é um deles, fala de coisas que não entende e, pior, faz propostas com resultados imprevisíveis e temerárias. William Easterly para variar bate e bem nesse campineiro de Oxford: "for now I will stick to puzzlement about the popularity of Collier's analysis (both here and in equally audacious recommendations in his previous writings) – is there an established model of coups to end civil conflict that is really this simple? What evidence base underlies this model and these predictions? How wide is the error band around these predictions? "

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