Selva Brasilis

Um país que evoluiu da oca e senzala ao abismo, barbárie e caos, sem ter experimentado a civilização

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Um Erro de Thomas Schelling

Artigo do grande pensador, Nobel de economia de 2005, Thomas Schelling: In 1982 I published an article that began, “Sometime in the 1980’s an organization that is not a national government may acquire a few nuclear weapons. If not in the 1980’s, then in the 1990’s.” (...) I’ve thought about this and concluded that we all concentrated, back then and since, on how vulnerable weapons-grade fissile material was to theft, in Russia or in a few former Soviet Socialist Republics, and that despite significant efforts by the USA to help financially to secure fissile materials, remained frighteningly vulnerable. I think now that we failed to appreciate that theft of weapons-grade fissile material was only a first step in a difficult process of getting stolen material to a dangerous customer.
SELVA BRASILIS at 8:52 PM
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