Selva Brasilis

Um país que evoluiu da oca e senzala ao abismo, barbárie e caos, sem ter experimentado a civilização

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Os Limites das Ciências Sociais

Interessante artigo no City Journal de Jim Manzi:
We have no reliable way to measure counterfactuals—that is, to know what would have happened had we not executed some policy—because so many other factors influence the outcome. This seemingly narrow problem is central to our continuing inability to transform social sciences into actual sciences. Unlike physics or biology, the social sciences have not demonstrated the capacity to produce a substantial body of useful, nonobvious, and reliable predictive rules about what they study—that is, human social behavior, including the impact of proposed government programs.
SELVA BRASILIS at 2:09 AM
Share

No comments:

Post a Comment

‹
›
Home
View web version
Powered by Blogger.