Monday, January 31, 2011
No dia seguinte, ao ler no jornal Estado de Minas que o governo dera a largada para um “novo trem da alegria”, Costa Couto reapresentou-se a Tancredo, irritado. “Como a gente demite 22 mil servidores e a notícia que sai é sobre contratados?” Tancredo ensinou: “Mineiro gosta de nomeação. Fui eu que dei a notícia para o jornal”.
Estimates of lost world product due to climate change are moderate because the poor have so little to lose. More than a billion people, maybe 2 billion, are estimated to live on less than the equivalent of $2 per day. If a billion of those poorest people lost half their income, it would be an overwhelming tragedy, a true catastrophe, worse than all the earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, landslides, and fires of the past decade happening every year. But those billion people together would lose only $365 billion per year. That is less than 1 percent of world income! They have so little to begin with that what they can lose doesn’t amount to much of a statistic. But they can lose tragically.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
This comes at a time when regulators are raising the amounts of equity the banks must hold, thus lowering their returns further. So by the slightly crazed logic of the system, the only way the banks can satisfy their shareholders is by actively seeking more risk – or, in other words, throwing their money away again.
The place they are most likely to do that – since it is where the immediate profits lie – is wherever the asset bubble is. Last time, it was developed world real estate. This time, Wyman reasonably suggests, it could be commodities and/or real estate in the emerging economies.
Behind this lies the glum premise that another banking bust is coming within the next few years – the only question being how individual banks can limit the damage. A group such as Wyman has an axe to grind here, since it aims to make money advising them accordingly. But it is interesting – and faintly disquieting – that it considers this a plausible scenario to present to its banking clients
A presidente do Brasil, Dilma Rousseff, posicionou-se publicamente contra a prática do apedrejamento, que classificou de barbárie. Qual a expectativa que a senhora tem desse novo governo?
O que eu espero da presidente Dilma é que ela faca o que seu antecessor não fez: que condene a situação dos direitos humanos no Irã e se recuse a manter relações diplomáticas com um regime assassino como o de Ahmadinejad, a quem Lula chamava de “amigo”.
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Friday, January 28, 2011
"Os petistas que plantaram isso sao os mesmos que atacam a imprensa e já foram vitmas de difamacoes”, escreveu, emendando, em tom de ameaça:
“É impressionante o instinto suicida desses caras. Quem não se lembra dos aloprados? Quem com ferro fere com ferro sera ferido” — escreveu, referindo-se ao escândalo em que petistas foram presos com mais de R$ 1,6 milhão em dinheiro vivo para comprar um dossiê forjado contra tucanos. Até hoje, cinco anos depois, a Polícia Federal não descobriu a origem do dinheiro.
Cunha afirmou ainda que os documentos que denunciam sua suposta ingerência em Furnas foram feitos por “aqueles que queriam fazer campanha com dossiês e felizmente não conseguiram”.
Thursday, January 27, 2011
An estimated 11 million people are in the U.S. without proper documentation.
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
O ecocídio da Região Serrana fluminense tem culpados. O principal deles é o poder público, que jamais promoveu reforma agrária no Brasil. (...) Darwin ensinou que, na natureza, sobrevivem os mais aptos. E o sistema capitalista criou estruturas para promover a seleção social, de modo que os miseráveis encontrem a morte o quanto antes. É esse darwinismo social, que tanto favorece a acumulação de riqueza, que faz dos pobres vítimas do descaso do governo.
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Karachi is Pakistan's largest city and its financial capital, providing the majority of the country's tax revenue and nearly a quarter of its GDP. It is a miniature Pakistan: every major regional ethnic group in the country is represented in substantial numbers. The city's politics are dominated by the Muttahida Quami Movement (MQM), a notionally secular party claiming to represent the largest "ethnic" group -- the Muhajirs, Urdu-speaking descendants of the refugees who left India during partition in 1947.
But the MQM is in relative decline: although Muhajirs make up almost 50 percent of Karachi's population, the party has no provincial population to draw from and is facing a steady influx of Pashtun workers, whose numbers have grown since 2002, when the fight against insurgents in the country's northwest first gained momentum and pushed millions of people south. The city's other major political parties have adopted the MQM model, propagating narratives of perceived inequality along ethnic lines. The Awami National Party (ANP), which claims to represent Karachi's estimated five million Pashtuns, is attempting to carve out an increasing share of power. It is allied with the Pakistan People's Party (PPP), a Sindh-based party that rules at both the national and provincial levels but is a minor power in Karachi, where it effectively represents Sindhis and Balochis.
The MQM's unwillingness to accommodate a growing population of Pashtuns is at the root of what is beginning to be described as a "civil war" inside Karachi. In 2010, nearly 1,400 people -- almost as many as were killed in suicide bombings and terrorist attacks over the same period -- died in "target killings" of party workers and members of one or another ethnic group.
Monday, January 24, 2011
Sunday, January 23, 2011
Sources say Olbermann's agent went to NBC looking for a raise for Keith, claiming he was underpaid (compared to his counterparts) at $7 million per year.
NBC would not pay more money and made clear they felt he was "a loose cannon that could not be controlled." At that point, it was just a question of when.
Saturday, January 22, 2011
Friday, January 21, 2011
A prostituta de luxo Nadia Macri contou num programa de TV italiano que foi convidada para um jantar na residência do primeiro-ministro italiano, Silvio Berlusconi, em Milão, na companhia dadançarina marroquina Ruby R. e de mais seis brasileiras, no dia 24 de abril de 2010.
Don't expect to see Obama holding hands with King Abdullah anytime soon, though; domestic politics in both countries won't allow for that. But the idea that the United States can end its dependence on Saudi oil is an illusion, just as the notion that Washington should abandon one of its closest security partners is profoundly unwise. These two countries were frenemies long before anyone coined the term -- and for better or for worse, they will be ambivalent allies for a long time to come
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Marta escolheu o SUV Veracruz, que custa, em sua versão top, cerca de R$ 140 mil. Também fechou a compra de dois sedan Azera. Completo, sai por volta de R$ 87 mil cada. As três unidades receberam blindagem – em torno R$ 50 mil por cada carro.
Mr Eichengreen does not think the dollar is about to be vanquished as sterling was. Rather, he foresees a “multipolar” system of international currencies. Reunification shifted Germany’s priorities from supporting America to binding itself more closely to Europe, resulting in the creation of the first significant competitor to the dollar, the euro. Mr Eichengreen could have devoted more attention to the strains that Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis have placed on the euro. His book is optimistic, noting that political rather than economic imperatives have always driven the euro. Mr Schmidt sold monetary integration to Germany’s sceptical central bank by invoking Auschwitz. Yet Mr Eichengreen’s recent writings betray a pessimism about the euro’s future that is not visible in his book.
And what of China? As was true of America and the dollar a century ago, China’s currency does not enjoy anywhere near the clout that could be expected from the size of the Chinese economy. As with Japan, China has discouraged internationalisation of its currency for fear that inflows of capital would lift its value and curb Chinese exports. It has learned, however, from Japan’s mistakes, and is gradually liberalising the use of its currency. But China is still much further behind than America was in 1914; it will be decades before the yuan rivals the dollar’s leadership.
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
A declaração de bens do candidato-delegado que agora assume como deputado é um atestado de sua habilidade no mundo dos negócios. Ali fica-se sabendo que Protógenes Queiroz guarda em casa R$ 284 mil em dinheiro e que tem pouco mais de R$ 10 mil numa conta na Suíça. Entre os sete imóveis que admite ser dono, três deles foram doados pela mesma pessoa, o delegado aposentado José Zelman. Outros dois, que ele usa como residência própria, não foram declarados ao TSE.
Estranho, não apareceu até agora uma vadia brazuca na lista… o que está acontecendo com o nosso enorme contingente de prostitutas na Itália? Estamos em crise!? Precisamos de uma linha de crédito do BNDES para financiar nossas exportações de vagabundas para a Itália?
Este causo – junto com outros 332 – foram recopilados pelo escritor e jornalista argentino Mario Paoletti em “O outro Borges – Anedotário completo” – recém-lançado em Buenos Aires pela editora Emecé.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Regardless of whether or not such executions are morally justifiable, Mossad murders have had unintended consequences. There's no better evidence for this than the chain of events which began with the attempt to kill deputy Hamas leader Khalid Mashal in the Jordanian capital in 1997. Mossad agents attacked Mashal in Amman with a neurotoxin, but were caught red-handed by the Jordanian police. As part of the agreement for the return of its agents, Israel had to both provide the Jordanian authorities with the antidote for the poison and release Hamas leader Sheikh Ahmed Yassin from prison. Shortly after his liberation, Sheikh Yassin toured Arab countries collecting donations that he used to launch a wave of murderous assaults on Israel beginning in 2000 and continuing until he was killed by an Israeli helicopter gunship attack in 2004. In the meantime, the failed attempt on Mashal gave him so much prestige that he took over the leadership of Hamas in exile soon after Yassin's death, and was able to forge closer ties to Shiite Iran than the fundamentalist Sunni Yassin would have ever permitted.
American schools are more segregated by race and class today than they were on the day Martin Luther King, Jr. was killed, 43 years ago. The average white child in America attends a school that is 77 percent white, and where just 32 percent of the student body lives in poverty. The average black child attends a school that is 59 percent poor but only 29 percent white. The typical Latino kid is similarly segregated; his school is 57 percent poor and 27 percent white. Overall, a third of all black and Latino children sit every day in classrooms that are 90 to 100 percent black and Latino.
Timur Kuran critica o novo livro de Ian Morris, Why the West Rules, e corretamente remarca que:
By itself, of course, the lucky geography of the West and the resources it generated through global exploration cannot explain the explosive growth of modern times. Morris' index has the East ahead of the West until the eve of the Industrial Revolution. But for centuries, Europe had been building a new type of economic infrastructure, based on impersonal exchange and a commercial life dominated by large, durable, and structurally complex profit-making enterprises. Those are the developments that fueled Europe's global exploration in the first place and prepared the ground for the Industrial Revolution. They also set the stage for the West's colonial empires. In fact, the roots of the West's economic modernization stretch back to the beginning of the second millennium, when, according to Morris' development index, China under the Song dynasty led the world. It is then that Italian families in the West started forming private medieval "supercompanies," or firms that pooled the resources for dozens of investors over generations, to conduct finance and trade. These enterprises enabled private capital pooling and accumulation on an unprecedented scale.
As they grew, these supercompanies faced coordination, communication, and enforcement problems, which induced experimentation with ever more complex organizational structures and business techniques. By the sixteenth century, profit-making European enterprises were already using a corporate form of organization. Comparably complex private enterprises could be found nowhere else, not even in the rest of what Morris defines as the West. Thus, by the time Europe started benefiting from the resources of its colonies and its own conveniently located coal deposits, it already had the economic infrastructure necessary for mass production, industrialization, and mass transportation. Geographic advantages were not enough to propel Europe forward; the institutions invented in the West were necessary to exploit those advantages
Monday, January 17, 2011
Sunday, January 16, 2011
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Friday, January 14, 2011
"The Cold War is long over," he continued. "The wars of occupation are almost over and were complete failures -- Afghanistan and Iraq. The American empire is done. There are no real seriously armed enemies left in the world that can possibly justify an $800 billion national defense and security establishment, including Homeland Security."
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
The alarming state of female mental health is exposed today as experts reveal 60% have had problems.The report has found the situation is so severe that eight million women have taken antidepressants to cope. It has resulted in promiscuity, drug use and family breakdowns – with those as young as 12 affected.
Monday, January 10, 2011
Saturday, January 8, 2011
Thursday, January 6, 2011
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Absolutamente impagável. Duas entrevistas de Ben Bernanke sobre Quantitative Easing, numa ele diz que QE não significa imprimir moeda e na outra que é imprimir moeda. Jon Stewart escarnece merecidamente de Helicopter Ben.
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
Yet the government can mount a reasonable case in defence of the increases. It is not clear why the public should be heavily subsidising a mode of transport that accounts for a tiny minority of all travel: 8% of the total distance travelled in Britain during 2009, compared with 85% by cars and vans. The relatively few who use railways often are disproportionately well-off: three-fifths of the traffic is concentrated in the wealthy commuting counties of the south-east.
In any case, the steady increase in the cost of rail travel over the past 30 years (trains are now around 50% more expensive in real terms than in 1980) has not stopped passenger numbers growing to their highest level since the end of the second world war. Many rail firms enjoy a virtually captive market: trains are very good at moving commuters into and out of large cities; congestion on the roads means that many people have no real alternative. Passengers might grumble about the new fares, but most will pay up nonetheless.
Monday, January 3, 2011
In 2001, Michael Jennions, a biologist at the Australian National University, set out to analyze “temporal trends” across a wide range of subjects in ecology and evolutionary biology. He looked at hundreds of papers and forty-four meta-analyses (that is, statistical syntheses of related studies), and discovered a consistent decline effect over time, as many of the theories seemed to fade into irrelevance. In fact, even when numerous variables were controlled for—Jennions knew, for instance, that the same author might publish several critical papers, which could distort his analysis—there was still a significant decrease in the validity of the hypothesis, often within a year of publication. Jennions admits that his findings are troubling, but expresses a reluctance to talk about them publicly. “This is a very sensitive issue for scientists,” he says. “You know, we’re supposed to be dealing with hard facts, the stuff that’s supposed to stand the test of time. But when you see these trends you become a little more skeptical of things.”
What happened? Leigh Simmons, a biologist at the University of Western Australia, suggested one explanation when he told me about his initial enthusiasm for the theory: “I was really excited by fluctuating asymmetry. The early studies made the effect look very robust.” He decided to conduct a few experiments of his own, investigating symmetry in male horned beetles. “Unfortunately, I couldn’t find the effect,” he said. “But the worst part was that when I submitted these null results I had difficulty getting them published. The journals only wanted confirming data. It was too exciting an idea to disprove, at least back then.” For Simmons, the steep rise and slow fall of fluctuating asymmetry is a clear example of a scientific paradigm, one of those intellectual fads that both guide and constrain research: after a new paradigm is proposed, the peer-review process is tilted toward positive results. But then, after a few years, the academic incentives shift—the paradigm has become entrenched—so that the most notable results are now those that disprove the theory. Jennions, similarly, argues that the decline effect is largely a product of publication bias, or the tendency of scientists and scientific journals to prefer positive data over null results, which is what happens when no effect is found. The bias was first identified by the statistician Theodore Sterling, in 1959, after he noticed that ninety-seven per cent of all published psychological studies with statistically significant data found the effect they were looking for. A “significant” result is defined as any data point that would be produced by chance less than five per cent of the time. This ubiquitous test was invented in 1922 by the English mathematician Ronald Fisher, who picked five per cent as the boundary line, somewhat arbitrarily, because it made pencil and slide-rule calculations easier. Sterling saw that if ninety-seven per cent of psychology studies were proving their hypotheses, either psychologists were extraordinarily lucky or they published only the outcomes of successful experiments. In recent years, publication bias has mostly been seen as a problem for clinical trials, since pharmaceutical companies are less interested in publishing results that aren’t favorable. But it’s becoming increasingly clear that publication bias also produces major distortions in fields without large corporate incentives, such as psychology and ecology.